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Lesson 5

The Illustrious 18

The 18 index plays that matter most

Once you can keep an accurate Hi-Lo count, the next step is index plays — situations where the tells you to deviate from . There are dozens of index plays. The are the ones that matter — Don Schlesinger calculated them as the 18 most-profitable deviations for a typical card counter. Get these right and you've captured roughly 90% of the gain from playing efficiency. The first three you should memorize: - at TC +3 or higher. is a -7.7% side bet at neutral count, but it flips positive at TC +3 and gets better from there. This single play is worth more than every other index combined. - 16 vs 10 at TC 0 or higher. hits 16 vs 10. With even a slightly positive count, you stand — the remaining shoe is rich enough in 10s that your hit-to-21 drop below the dealer's bust rate. - 15 vs 10 at TC +4 or higher. Same logic, higher count required. The other 15 plays cover specific stand/hit/double/ deviations on hard 12-13, soft 18-19, and pair situations. They each add fractions of a percent. Drill them on the TableSharp surface in /advanced — and never in your head at the table the first time you encounter the spot.

Key points

  • ✓Index plays are deviations from basic strategy triggered by the true count
  • ✓The Illustrious 18 are the 18 most profitable deviations
  • ✓Insurance at TC +3 is the single most valuable index play
  • ✓16 vs 10 at TC 0 is the next-most valuable
  • ✓Drill index plays in advance — never improvise them at the table